monetary policy

Monetary Regime Change and Business Cycles

This paper analyzes to what extent changes in monetary policy regimes influence the business cycle in a small open economy and investigates the impact of policy breaks on the estimation procedure. We estimate a DSGE model on Swedish data, explicitly taking into account the monetary regime change in 1993, from ...

Category : Economics Papers
Targeting Inflation with a Prominent Role for Money

This paper demonstrates how a target for money growth can be beneficial for an inflation targeting central bank acting under discretion. Because the growth rate of money is closely related to the change in the interest rate and he growth of real output, delegating a money growth target to the ...

Category : Economics Papers
Macroeconomic Impact on Expected Default Frequency

We use a vector error correction model to study the long-term relationship between aggregate expected default frequency and the macroeconomic development, i.e. CPI, industry production and short-term interest rate. The model is used to forecast the median expected default frequency of the corporate sector by conditioning on external forecasts of ...

Category : Economics Papers
A Continuous-Time Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates with Fiscal-Monetary Policy Interactions

We study the term structure implications of the fiscal theory of price level determination. We introduce the intertemporal budget constraint of the government in a general equilibrium model in continuous time. Fiscal policy is set according to a simple rule whereby taxes react proportionally to real debt. We show how ...

Category : Economics Papers
Does monetary union reduce employment?

We use a two-country monetary model with unionized labor markets and open-economy spillovers to study the macroeconomic consequences of the formation of a monetary union. It is shown that the monetary regime affects the trade-off between real consumer wages and employment faced by the unions. Consequently, the equilibrium employment is ...

Category : Economics Papers
Government size and output volatility: is there a relationship?

This paper provides some further tests for the proposition that a larger public sector leads to smaller out-put volatility. Both Gali and Fatas & Mihov have provided some evidence which appears to support this proposition. Their evidence is, however, based on a relatively small sample of countries. In this study, ...

Category : Economics Papers
Expectations, learning and monetary policy: an overview of recent research

Building on Cecchetti and Li (2005), we show that the bank lending channel affects monetary policy trade-offs only when interest rates affect marginal costs of production (ie when there is a cost channel of monetary policy) in the New Keynesian monetary policy model. In our calibrated model the resulting impact ...

Category : Economics Papers
Structural Reform in New Zealand: A Review

This paper discusses the reasons for the change in economic policy direction adopted in New Zealand in 1984. The paper briefly outlines the economic history of New Zealand in the period from the early 1970's to 1996. The ultimate test of the success of the economic reforms is whether they ...

Category : Economics Papers
Quantitative New Keynesian Macroeconomics and Monetary Policy Project Report

Essay 1 compares the dynamic behaviour of an estimated New Keynesian sticky-price model with one-period delayed effects of monetary policy shocks to the dynamics of a structural vector autoregression model. The model is estimated with Bayesian techniques on German pre-EMU data. The dynamics of the sticky-price model following either a ...

Monetary Policy in Closed and Open Economies

Two DSGE models are calibrated and simulated to investigate how the role of monetarypolicy differs between a closed and an open economy. The central bank conducts monetary policy according to a Taylor (1993) rule, reacting to inflation- and output deviations. Prices are sticky and there are habit components which slow ...